Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.017529 0.022088 0.028144 0.037064 0.050409 0.070643 0.105970
2025-01-05 0.011820 0.016315 0.023173 0.035201 0.057882 0.104805 0.234936
2025-01-12 0.009251 0.013483 0.020517 0.034382 0.065398 0.149005 0.532126
2025-01-19 0.008068 0.012327 0.019966 0.036775 0.081587 0.246791 1.969072
2025-01-26 0.007389 0.011783 0.020243 0.040990 0.107795 0.475542 29.212003
2025-02-02 0.006847 0.011327 0.020506 0.045387 0.142424 1.029642 NaN
2025-02-09 0.006142 0.010397 0.019470 0.045762 0.163539 1.876804 NaN
2025-02-16 0.005583 0.009642 0.018612 0.046249 0.188117 3.893015 NaN
2025-02-23 0.005100 0.008958 0.017739 0.046276 0.212416 9.241909 NaN
2025-03-02 0.004576 0.008108 0.016273 0.043564 0.213980 16.179524 NaN
2025-03-09 0.004193 0.007507 0.015313 0.042329 0.226852 45.514463 NaN
2025-03-16 0.003951 0.007179 0.014990 0.043431 0.266555 1649.867287 NaN
2025-03-23 0.003658 0.006744 0.014417 0.043849 0.312835 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 0.003312 0.006151 0.013308 0.041507 0.321673 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 0.003052 0.005722 0.012566 0.040480 0.350690 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 0.002929 0.005589 0.012644 0.043486 0.481687 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 0.002860 0.005575 0.013074 0.048826 0.772898 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.002789 0.005544 0.013446 0.054451 1.310642 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.002638 0.005292 0.013041 0.054932 1.675278 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.002505 0.005069 0.012684 0.055559 2.201520 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.002376 0.004844 0.012278 0.055594 2.823041 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.002216 0.004521 0.011473 0.052112 2.711968 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.002094 0.004286 0.010945 0.050532 3.007940 NaN NaN